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Australian Auto Residual Forecasts - AutoCycle™

Manage your auto portfolio by leveraging quantitative forecasts of Australian car values under normal and stressed scenarios. Learn more about the forecasts.

A Perfect Storm Blows Australian Used-Vehicle Prices Sky-High

Wholesale used-vehicle prices rose to all-time highs across Australia in June. Following a record-breaking monthly increase in May, June doubled down on the historic gains.

Australian Used-Vehicle Prices Rise in First Quarter on Supply Concerns

According to the Datium Insights-Moody's Analytics Price Index, wholesale used-vehicle prices are 37% above the pre-pandemic high set in February 2020.

Recent Australian Used-Vehicle Prices Gains Are Unsustainable

As prices continue to climb, there is a developing question of sustainability.

New U.S. Vehicles Becoming Less Affordable as Incomes Drop

Millions of Americans remain out of work, disposable incomes that were supercharged by federal stimulus look poised for a crash landing, and the Federal Reserve has promised to keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future.

AutoCycle Methodology: Australian Model

This white paper lays out AutoCycle Australia, a forecasting methodology able to generate used-vehicle prices under a wide array of macroeconomic conditions.

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Price Report: 2020Q4

Demand for used vehicles slowed as job creation provided less support.

U.S. Used-Vehicle Market: Revved Up in 2021

Demand for used vehicles was red-hot in the first quarter. After ticking down modestly in the final few months of last year, U.S. wholesale used-vehicle prices shot up 11% from December to March.

Driving to Default in Unaffordable Used Cars

Driving to Default in Unaffordable Used Cars

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Price Report: 2021Q2

U.S. wholesale used-vehicle demand has begun to cool off after rising rapidly in the first few months of the year.

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Price Report: 2021Q1

U.S. used-vehicle prices declined in the final quarter of 2020 after an unprecedented runup that began in May.

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Price Report: 2020Q3

U.S. wholesale used-vehicle retention value growth has been muted over the last two months after an unprecedented rise.

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Price Report: 2019Q3

Auto retention values were not immune to the slowdown in the U.S. economy in the third quarter. Wholesale used-vehicle value retention dropped 1.7% in September on a year-over year basis. This at a time when U.S. economic growth slowed from 3% a year earlier to about 2%

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Price Report: 2017Q4

Wholesale used-vehicle auction sales waned in November, while the average transaction price fell by 0.53% from a year ago to $10,556. The surge in replacement demand after Hurricanes Harvey and Irma appears to be fading, resulting in prices and sales normalizing from the strong performance in October and September.

Datium– Moody's Used Vehicle Price Index

The purpose of this article is to introduce some new data and analytics into Australian economic commentary that pertain to the health of the auto industry and the value of the nation's vehicle fleet.

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Price Report: 2020Q2

Despite the quarterly average declining by 4.6%, the movement of prices within the quarter set multiple records.

Australian Used Car Prices Bounce Back Despite COVID-19: New Datium Insights-Moody's Analytics Index

A new index launched by Moody's Analytics in collaboration with Datium Insights reveals that Australian wholesale used-vehicle prices increased by 10.6% from April to May of this year.

Insurance Regulatory Insight Newsletter - November/December 2016

Coverage this month includes the International Monetary Fund (IMF) recent Article IV on consultation with Chile, are encouraging institutional investors to give preference to investing in companies with good governance standards. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has highlighted sustainability as a key theme in its submission to a Parliamentary Committee enquiry into the life insurance industry. While APRA has not included sustainability in regulation, the knowledge that they are interested in it might have an influence on insurers' activities. The United States Federal Insurance Office, published its fourth report on the insurance industry, and its first report on the protection of consumers and access to insurance.

The Effect of Ride-Sharing on the Auto Industry

Many in the auto industry are concerned about the impact of ride-sharing. In this article analyze the impact of ride-share services like Uber and Lyft on the private transportation market.

Cox Automotive – Moody's Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index

This paper describes the underlying data sources, methodology, and some reasoning as to why each decision was made.

Weekly Market Outlook: Second-Quarter GDP Impresses

U.S. GDP rose a healthy 2.4% in the second quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance estimate.

Electric Vehicle Residual Value Outlook

Moody's Analytics Lead Auto Economist Michael Vogan examine what factors—both macroeconomic and technological—are causing residuals in the electric vehicle market to under perform.

Weekly Market Outlook: Looking Good, So Far

The Moody's Analytics high-frequency GDP estimate for the U.S. third quarter rose with the latest data on consumer spending and inflation

Supervisory Framework for Measuring and Controlling Large Exposures

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) released the final policy framework for the measurement and control of large exposures1 in April 2014. The final framework takes into account the industry comments on the March 2013 proposal2 and would replace the Committee's 1991 guidance.

Weekly Market Outlook: Inflation Is a Wild Card

U.S. financial market conditions are forecast to tighten next year, but we still expect solid corporate bond issuance and low defaults.

COVID-19 Impact Report for UK Corporate Sectors (October 2020)

This is the first analysis in a series that aims to evaluate the financial health of UK firms, and to monitor the evolving situation as of October 2020.

Weekly Market Outlook: Under Pressure

The U.S. consumer price index came in hotter than expected in October, dialing up the pressure on the Federal Reserve to defend its view that inflationary pressures are transitory.

Peru's Central Bank Joins the Rate-Cutting Bandwagon

Monetary policy alone will be insufficient to temper an economic stall-out.

COVID-19-Impact Report-UK-Jan-2021

Climate Risk Macroeconomic Forecasting

Moody's Analytics is expanding its capabilities to enable institutions to assess risks posed by climate change.