Featured Product

    BIS Issues Paper on Measuring Contagion Risk in International Banking

    July 15, 2019

    BIS published a working paper on measuring contagion risk in international banking. In the paper, the authors propose a distress measure for national banking systems to incorporate not only banks’ credit default swap (CDS) spreads, but also how they interact with the rest of the global financial system via multiple linkage types. The measure is based on a tensor decomposition method that extracts an adjacency matrix from a multi-layer network, measured using banks’ foreign exposures obtained from the BIS international banking statistics. Based on this adjacency matrix, the authors develop a new network centrality measure that can be interpreted in terms of the credit risk or funding risk of a banking system.

    The rapid growth of the global financial system over the past couple of decades has increased the importance of properly measuring contagion risk. This is true not only from a financial stability point of view, but also from a macroeconomic perspective, as financial crises tend to have significant and persistent negative effects on economic activity. Additionally, the increased interconnectedness and complexity of the global banking system have made that task extremely challenging. A novel methodology for measuring contagion risk in international banking has been proposed in the paper.

    The empirical analysis suggests that the measure generated using the novel methodology predicts CDS spreads better than an alternative measure based on (unadjusted) past values of CDS spreads. This is the case, especially during crisis times, when the non-linear network effects tend to be more important. The methodology can be rather useful for policymakers, as it gives an early warning measure of a national banking system’s distress levels, which incorporates information on its foreign exposures. The measure can also be extended to any multi-layer financial network, such as an interbank network. Furthermore, the methodology that has been proposed could potentially be utilized in a bottom-up stress test. More precisely, the proposed methodology could generate estimates of the expected losses of an institution, while incorporating all relevant information on (direct and indirect) exposures, linkages, and contagion probabilities.

     

    Related Link: Working Paper

    Keywords: International, Banking, Securities, Contagion Risk, CDS, Credit Risk, Stress Testing, Research, Swaps, BIS

    Featured Experts
    Related Articles
    News

    EBA Publishes Standards on Disclosure of Investment Policy Under IFR

    The European Banking Authority (EBA) published the final draft regulatory technical standards on disclosure of investment policy by investment firms, under the Investment Firms Regulation (IFR).

    October 19, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    EBA Updates Filing Rules for Supervisory Reporting

    The European Banking Authority (EBA) published version 5.1 of the filing rules for supervisory reporting.

    October 19, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    ECB Amends Guideline on Procedures for Collection of AnaCredit Data

    The European Central Bank (ECB) Guideline 2021/1829 on the procedures for the collection of granular credit and credit risk data has been published in the Official Journal of European Union.

    October 19, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    APRA Finalizes Guidance for New Prudential Standard on Remuneration

    The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) published the prudential practice guide CPG 511 to assist banks, insurers, and superannuation licensees in meeting requirements of CPS 511, the new prudential standard on remuneration.

    October 18, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    OCC Updated LIBOR Self-Assessment Tool for Banks

    The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) published a bulletin that provides an updated self-assessment tool for banks to evaluate their preparedness for cessation of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR).

    October 18, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    TCFD Updates Guidance for Financial Disclosures on Climate Risk

    The Financial Stability Board (FSB) published a report that examines the progress made toward disclosures aligned with recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD).

    October 14, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    BCBS Report Examines Progress on Adoption of Basel III Framework

    The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) published the progress report on adoption of the Basel III regulatory framework in member jurisdictions.

    October 14, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    ACPR Implements Updates Related to DPM Version 3.1

    The French Prudential Supervisory Authority (ACPR) has implemented, in its information system, updates linked to the Data Point Model (DPM) version 3.1.

    October 14, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    EBA Note Examines Transition Risks of Benchmark Rates

    The European Banking Authority (EBA) published a thematic note that aims to identify and raise awareness of the transition risks of benchmark rates, as the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and the Euro Overnight Index Average (EONIA) are close to being phased out.

    October 14, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    OSFI to Communicate Next Steps on Climate Risk Policy in Early 2022

    In a letter to the federally regulated financial institutions and pension plans, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) published a summary of the feedback received to the January 2021 discussion paper on ways to address climate risks.

    October 12, 2021 WebPage Regulatory News
    RESULTS 1 - 10 OF 7568