Featured Product

    FED Releases Scenarios for the CCAR and DFAST Exercises in 2019

    February 05, 2019

    FED released the scenarios that banks and supervisors will use for the 2019 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) and Dodd-Frank Act stress test (DFAST) exercises. Banks are required to submit their capital plans and the results of their own stress tests to FED by April 05, 2019. FED will announce the results of its supervisory stress tests by June 30, 2019. The instructions for the 2019 CCAR will be released at a later date.

    FED also announced that it will provide relief to less-complex firms from stress testing requirements and from CCAR by effectively moving the firms to an extended stress test cycle for this year. The relief applies to firms generally with total consolidated assets between USD 100 billion and USD 250 billion. As a result, these less-complex firms will not be subject to a supervisory stress test during the 2019 cycle and their capital distributions for this year will be largely based on the results from the 2018 supervisory stress test. At a later date, FED will propose for notice and comment a final capital distribution method for firms on an extended stress test cycle in future years.

    The stress tests run by the firms and the FED apply three hypothetical scenarios: baseline, adverse, and severely adverse. For the 2019 cycle, the severely adverse scenario features a severe global recession in which the U.S. unemployment rate rises by more than 6 percentage points to 10%. In keeping with the FED's public framework for scenario design, a stronger economy with a lower starting point for the unemployment rate results in a tougher scenario. The severely adverse scenario also includes elevated stress in corporate loan and commercial real estate markets. The adverse and severely adverse scenarios describe hypothetical sets of events designed to assess the strength of banking organizations and their resilience. They are not forecasts. The baseline scenario is in line with average projections from surveys of economic forecasters. It does not represent the forecast of the FED. The adverse scenario features a moderate recession in the United States as well as weakening economic activity across all countries included in the scenario.

    Each scenario includes 28 variables—such as gross domestic product, the unemployment rate, stock market prices, and interest rates—covering domestic and international economic activity. Along with the variables, FED is publishing a narrative description of the scenarios that also highlights changes from last year. Firms with large trading operations will be required to factor in a global market shock component as part of their scenarios. Additionally, firms with substantial trading or processing operations will be required to incorporate a counterparty default scenario component. 

    CCAR evaluates the capital planning processes and capital adequacy of the largest U.S. bank holding companies, and large U.S. operations of foreign firms, using their planned capital distributions, such as dividend payments and share buybacks and issuance. The Dodd-Frank Act stress tests also help ensure that banks can continue to lend during times of stress, but use standard capital distribution assumptions for all firms. Both assessments only apply to domestic bank holding companies and foreign bank intermediate holding companies with more than USD 100 billion in total consolidated assets.

     

    Related Links

    Keywords: Americas, US, Banking, Stress Testing, CCAR, DFAST, Stress Testing Scenarios, FED

    Featured Experts
    Related Articles
    News

    OSFI Issues Results of Pilot on Climate Risk Scenario Analysis

    The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) published an update on the discussion paper that intended to engage federally regulated financial institutions and other interested stakeholders in a dialog with OSFI, to proactively enhance and align assurance expectations over key regulatory returns.

    January 20, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    EC Issues Regulation on Adjustments to K-Factor Coefficients Under IFR

    The European Commission (EC) published a report summarizing responses to the targeted consultation on the supervisory convergence and the single rulebook in the European Union (EU).

    January 20, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    ECB Issues Opinions on Green Bonds Standard and CRR Proposals

    The European Central Bank (ECB) published its opinion on a proposal for a regulation on European green bonds, following a request from the European Parliament.

    January 19, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    ESRB Explores Policy Response to Risks Arising from Digitalization

    The Advisory Scientific Committee (ASC) of the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) published a report that explores the expected impact of digitalization on provision of financial and banking services, and proposes policy measures to address the risks stemming from digitalization.

    January 18, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    HKMA Consults on FIRO Code, Revises Policy on Foreign Exchange Risk

    The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is consulting on the draft Financial Institutions (Resolution) Ordinance (Cap. 628), or FIRO, Code of Practice chapter on liquidity and funding in resolution, until March 14, 2022.

    January 18, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    FI Publishes Multiple Regulatory and Reporting Updates

    The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (FI) announced that the capital adequacy reporting as at December 31, 2021 must be done by February 11, 2022.

    January 17, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    EU Authorities Address COVID-19 Reporting, MCD, and PSD2 Issues

    The European Banking Authority (EBA) announced that the guidelines on the reporting and disclosure of exposures subject to measures COVID-relief measures shall continue to apply until further notice.

    January 17, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    BSP Tackles Aspects of Lending and Islamic, Open & Sustainable Finance

    The Central Bank of the Philippines (BSP) issued communications covering developments related to online lending platforms, open finance framework and roadmap, and on the expected regulations in the area sustainable finance.

    January 16, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    US Agencies Issue Regulatory Updates, FDIC Launches Tech Sprint

    The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED) published the final rule that amends Regulation I to reduce the quarterly reporting burden for member banks by automating the application process for adjusting their subscriptions to the Federal Reserve Bank capital stock, except in the context of mergers.

    January 13, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    EBA Issues Guide on Bank Resolvability, Consults on Transferability

    The European Banking Authority (EBA) published its assessment of risks through the quarterly Risk Dashboard and the results of the Autumn edition of the Risk Assessment Questionnaire (RAQ).

    January 13, 2022 WebPage Regulatory News
    RESULTS 1 - 10 OF 7881