ECB Publishes Seventh Issue of Macroprudential Bulletin in March 2019
ECB published Issue 7 of the Macroprudential Bulletin, which provides insight into the ongoing work of ECB in the field of macro-prudential policy. The Bulletin presents an overview of the macro-prudential policy measures that are being implemented in euro area countries as of January 01, 2019. Additionally, this issue includes four articles on key macro-prudential topics, including an assessment of bank regulatory reforms ten years after the crisis, results from the new macro-prudential stress test framework, macro-prudential analysis of residential real estate markets, and analyses of the recent decisions on the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB).
Post-crisis bank resilience. The first article investigates whether the euro area banking system is more resilient ten years after the global financial crisis. It compares the ability of euro area banks to absorb potential shocks before the 2008 global financial crisis and ten years later, taking into account the impact of post-crisis reforms on bank capital and loss-absorbing capacity, including the new, post-crisis resolution framework. The analysis shows a significant increase in the ability of the euro area banking system to withstand potential shocks without costs for taxpayers after the global financial crisis and the post-crisis wave of reforms. This has been achieved through higher regulatory capital and the new resolution framework, which includes the bail-in tool and the potential intervention of the Single Resolution Fund, as well as a significant reduction in the average probability of default of banks. Notwithstanding the significant increase in the average level of resilience in the euro area banking system, the post-crisis regulatory work is not yet complete. Recent and outstanding regulatory reforms, particularly the finalization of the Basel III package and the minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) requirements, should be properly implemented to further strengthen the resilience of banks, especially outlier institutions.
Results from macro-prudential stress test. The second article summarizes the results of the macro-prudential stress test of the euro area banking sector in 2018-2020 and assesses the resilience of the European banking sector’s resilience, if faced with a global economic recession. The results indicate substantial resilience of the euro area banking system at the current juncture. The macro-prudential stress test predicts a lower negative impact on capital ratios, though higher capital depletion, in billions of euro, than a static balance-sheet stress test. They also show that bank deleveraging tied to deteriorating capitalization and asset quality leads to further deterioration in economic conditions in an adverse scenario.
Macro-prudential analysis of residential real estate markets. The third article presents ECB framework for assessing financial stability risks stemming from residential real estate markets and for designing macro-prudential policy responses. It also reviews recent developments in residential real estate markets and policy initiatives to address risks. The current analysis indicates that residential real estate vulnerabilities relevant to macro-prudential policy are present in a number of euro area countries. In general, over the past years, the activation of macro-prudential instruments related to residential real estate risks recognizes the need for a proactive policy stance to avoid possible negative consequences for the financial sector and the broader economy. However, the continuation of observed trends in residential real estate markets in some countries suggests that further policy actions remain warranted in the near future.
Analysis of CCyB decisions. The fourth article reviews the country-specific strategic choices and decisions regarding timing and calibration of CCyB in countries participating in the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM). It sheds light on the causes of the different policy choices and exposes limitations encountered in the prominent role of the credit-to-GDP gap in the current Basel framework. Ultimately, assessing risks across euro area countries consistently, while taking into account country-specific factors, supports the effective use of CCyB as a macro-prudential instrument and ensures that similar risk exposures are subject to the same set of macro-prudential requirements. The consistent use of additional risk indicators over time and across countries can help make macro-prudential policy more predictable.
Related Links
Keywords: Europe, EU, Banking, Post-Crisis Reforms, Macroprudential Bulletin, CCyB, Residential Real Estate, Stress Testing, Macroprudential Policy, ECB
Previous Article
SBIF Issues Instructions for Reporting of Credit LimitsRelated Articles
|
News
ESAs Amend Technical Standards on Mapping of ECAIs Under CRRESAs published a second amendment to the implementing technical standards on the mapping of credit assessments of External Credit Assessment Institutions (ECAIs) for credit risk under the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR).
May 20, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
OCC Consults on Information Collection for Home Mortgage DisclosuresOCC is soliciting comment on the revision of the information collection titled “Regulation C—Home Mortgage Disclosure.” OCC also notes that it has sent the collection to OMB for review.
May 20, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
EIOPA Updates Q&A on Regulations in May 2019EIOPA published additional questions and answers (Q&A) on guidelines, directives, and regulations applicable to insurers in Europe.
May 17, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
FSB Publishes Update on Meeting of RCG for AmericasFSB published a summary of the meeting of its Regional Consultative Group (RCG) in Americas.
May 17, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
IASB Issues Work Plan and Meeting Updates for May 2019IASB published an updated work plan, along with the update of its meeting in May 2019.
May 17, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
FCA Publishes Its Business Plan for the Coming YearFCA published its Business Plan, which sets out the main areas of focus and priorities for 2019/20.
May 17, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
CFTC Proposes to Amend Derivatives Clearing Organization RegulationsCFTC proposed amendments to certain regulations applicable to registered derivatives clearing organizations (DCOs) under Part 30 of the CFTC regulations.
May 16, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
APRA Licenses Societe Generale As Foreign Deposit-Taking InstitutionAPRA granted Societe Generale a license to operate as a foreign authorized deposit-taking institution under the Banking Act of 1959.
May 16, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
EBA Provides Updates on Its Work on Basel III Impact Assessment in EUEBA is working to finalize the impact assessment on implementation of Basel III standards, in response to the EC call for advice, which was received on May 04, 2018.
May 16, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
|
News
ISDA Publishes Two Consultations on Benchmark FallbacksISDA published two consultations on benchmark fallbacks, the comment periods for which expire on July 12, 2019.
May 16, 2019
WebPage
Regulatory News
|
