FED Publishes Results of the 2019 Stress Tests for Banks
FED published a report presenting results of the Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test (DFAST) exercise for 2019. The results of this year’s stress test cycle show that all 18 banks subject to the supervisory stress test exceeded the required minimum capital and leverage ratios under the severely adverse stress scenario. However, in the aggregate, the 18 firms would experience substantial losses under both the adverse and severely adverse scenarios. Nevertheless, these firms could continue lending to businesses and households, due to the substantial build of capital since the financial crisis.
Only the largest and most complex banks were tested this year. As previously announced, smaller and less complex banks were not tested this year and are on a two-year cycle, consistent with the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection (EGRRCP) Act. The report on the 2019 DFAST results provides:
- Details of the adverse and severely adverse supervisory scenarios used in DFAST 2019
- An overview of the analytical framework and methods used to generate FED’s projected results, highlighting notable changes from last year’s program
- Information about recent efforts to increase transparency
- Additional details about FED’s assumptions in the supervisory stress test
- Results of the supervisory stress test under adverse and severely adverse scenarios for the firms that participated in DFAST 2019, presented both for individual institutions and in aggregate
The results confirm that the largest and most complex banks have strong capital levels that would allow them to stay well above the minimum requirements, after being tested against the severe hypothetical recession. In the severely adverse scenario, losses are projected to be USD 410 billion. The aggregate common equity tier 1 capital ratio would fall from an actual 12.3% in the fourth quarter of 2018 to its minimum of 9.2%, before rising to 9.7% at the end of nine quarters. Loan losses in this year's stress test are broadly comparable to those from past years. Credit card loans showed the highest losses, followed by commercial and industrial loans.
The DFAST cycle begins in the first quarter of 2019 and ends in the first quarter of 2021. The firms tested this year represent about 70% of the assets of all banks operating in the U.S. Results of the Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review, or CCAR, will be released on June 27, 2019.
Related Links
Keywords: Americas, US, Banking, Stress Testing, Dodd-Frank Act, Stress Test Results, DFAST, CCAR, Basel III, EGRRCP Act, FED
Featured Experts
James Partridge
Credit analytics expert helping clients understand, develop, and implement credit models for origination, monitoring, and regulatory reporting.
Laurent Birade
Advises U.S. and Canadian financial institutions on risk and finance integration, CCAR/DFAST stress testing, IFRS9 and CECL credit loss reserving, and credit risk practices.
María Cañamero
Skilled market researcher; growth strategist; successful go-to-market campaign developer
Previous Article
EBA Single Rulebook Q&A: Third Update for June 2019Related Articles
BCBS Consults on Principles for Operational Risk and Resilience
BCBS is consulting on the principles for operational resilience and the revisions to the principles for sound management of operational risk for banks.
FSI Note Discusses Challenges Associated with COVID Relief Measures
The Financial Stability Institute (FSI) of BIS published a brief note that examines the supervisory challenges associated with certain temporary regulatory relief measures introduced by BCBS and prudential authorities in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
HKMA Announces Repayment Deferment Under Payment Holiday Scheme
HKMA, together with the Banking Sector Small and Medium-Size Enterprise (SME) Lending Coordination Mechanism, announced a ninety-day repayment deferment for trade facilities under the Pre-approved Principal Payment Holiday Scheme.
ESRB Paper Presents Alternative Approach to EBA Stress Test Proposal
The Advisory Scientific Committee of ESRB published a response, in the form of an Insights Paper, to the EBA proposals for reforms to the stress testing framework in EU.
MAS Announces Key Initiatives to Support Adoption of SORA
MAS announced several initiatives to support adoption of the Singapore Overnight Rate Average (SORA), which is administered by MAS.
BoE Updates Template and Definitions for Form ER
BoE updated the reporting template for Form ER as well as the Form ER definitions, which contain guidance on the methodology to be used in calculating annualized interest rates.
PRA to Extend Temporary High Balance Coverage Amid COVID Crisis
PRA published the policy statement PS19/20 on the final policy for extending coverage under the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) for Temporary High Balance.
EBA Publishes Standards on Disclosure and Reporting of MREL and TLAC
EBA published the final draft implementing technical standards for disclosures and reporting on the minimum requirements for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) and the total loss-absorbing capacity (TLAC) requirements in EU.
EBA Releases Erratum for Phase 2 Package on Reporting Framework 2.10
EBA published an erratum for the phase 2 of technical package on the reporting framework 2.10.
EC Sets Out Updated Technical Information for Solvency II Calculations
EC published the Implementing Regulation 2020/1145, which lays down technical information for calculation of technical provisions and basic own funds.
