ESRB released its quarterly risk dashboard at the ESRB Board meeting, which was held on June 27, 2019. The risk dashboard provides a set of quantitative and qualitative indicators of systemic risk in the financial system in EU. The overview note accompanying the risk dashboard summarizes the recent development of indicators and contains two annexes describing the methodology and the covered risk indicators.
The dashboard highlights that risks to EU financial stability remain a concern, as reflected by the market-based indicators of systemic stress in EU over the past quarter. The indicators of systemic stress increased during the second quarter of 2019. Meanwhile, the probability of simultaneous default by large and complex banking groups and EU sovereigns decreased in the second quarter of 2019. The banking sector resilience remained broadly stable while the pace of the reduction of non-performing loans (NPLs) slightly lost momentum. The median common equity tier 1 to risk-weighted assets ratio remained stable at 15.5% in the first quarter of 2019, with the highest capitalized banks reducing their capitalization. Moreover, the median ratio of NPLs to total gross loans and advances slightly increased, reaching 3.2% at the beginning of 2019, up from 2.9% at the end of 2018. Overall, ongoing supervisory and regulatory work needs to support the reduction of vulnerabilities in the European banking sector. The dashboard also shows that, despite a lower profitability due to reduced investment returns, the median solvency ratio of the EU insurance sector is stable above 200%.
Additionally, at the ESRB meeting, the General Board considered the medium-term risks related to vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector in European Economic Area. The General Board exchanged views on a range of systemic risks and vulnerabilities related to non-bank financial intermediation, including those related to interconnectedness, liquidity, and leverage. ESRB also plans to publish the EU Non-Bank Financial Intermediation Risk Monitor (previously Shadow Banking Monitor) in the coming months. Furthermore, the General Board discussed the key results from the ESRB workshop on the second-round effects from the banking sector stress test. For a better understanding of second-round effects, the General Board decided to supplement the 2018 EBA EU-wide banking sector stress test with a questionnaire. The questionnaire was sent to the 30 largest banking groups in Europe and aggregate results were discussed with representatives from participating banks.
- Press Release
- Risk Dashboard (PDF)
- Overview Note (PDF)
- Annex I on Methodology (PDF)
- Annex II on Description of Indicators (PDF)
Keywords: Europe, EU, Banking, Insurance, Securities, Systemic Risk, Risk Dashboard, ESRB
Across 35 years in banking, Blake has gained deep insights into the inner working of this sector. Over the last two decades, Blake has been an Operating Committee member, leading teams and executing strategies in Credit and Enterprise Risk as well as Line of Business. His focus over this time has been primarily Commercial/Corporate with particular emphasis on CRE. Blake has spent most of his career with large and mid-size banks. Blake joined Moody’s Analytics in 2021 after leading the transformation of the credit approval and reporting process at a $25 billion bank.
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