Moody's Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model

A trusted structural model for forecasting, scenario development and evaluating economic or policy shocks.

Key Attributes

Comprehensive Coverage

Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model forecasts 12,000+ economic and financial time series, accounting for roughly 95% of global economic activity.

Structural Modeling Approach

Variables are forecasted using a simultaneous system of structural economic equations that allow for a variety of cross-country interactions through demand, price and financial market linkages.

Globally Linked Forecasts

Linkages in the simultaneous global model allow for shock propagation and contagion effects, and ensure greater scenario consistency: trade flows, financial markets, prices and investment.

Timeliness and Data Quality

The model leverages the most accurate, timely and highest quality information available from original sources.

Full Transparency & Auditability

The model methodology is fully documented and supported by processes that stand up to regulatory scrutiny.

Robust Diagnostic Processes

Extensive diagnostic processes ensure stability and consistency with the current business cycle outlook of each nation.

Key Features and Methodology

70+ countries included in the model with an additional 21 countries available • Horizon: 30 years • Periodicity: Quarterly • Updates: Monthly

Variables: 12,000+, including standard national income accounts as well as trade, households, financial markets, demographics, prices.

Developed and maintained by 100+ economists using a structural economic modeling approach.

Available through Scenario Studio, a robust platform for producing scenarios in a collaborative web-based environment.

*Coverage as of August 2018

Get a Deeper View

In this webinar replay, Mark Zandi and Mark Hopkins provide insight on our Global Macroeconomic Model and highlight recent economic analysis.

Additional research produced in the model include:

Economic Outcomes Produced in the Global Macroeconomic Model

U.S. Stock Sell Off Hurts Global Growth

Higher Oil Prices Have Mixed Impacts

U.S. – China Trade War

Request a Demonstration of Our Global Model

Contact our team to get a personalized demonstration of our global macroeconomic model. A member of our relationship management team will follow up with you.

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Generate Your Own Forecasts Based on Our Model Using Scenario Studio

Moody’s Analytics Scenario Studio enables you to produce custom scenarios based on our global macroeconomic model in a multi-user environment with process controls that provide complete oversight.

View this video to see how easy it is to perform a shock on the German 10-year yield.

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