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Article

Economic Costs of Closing the U.S.-Mexico Border

Supply chains and cross-border transactions could be damaged.

April 2019 Pdf Alfredo Coutiño
Article

Perspectivas Económicas América Central 2019

América Central continuará siendo la subregión con mayor crecimiento en el 2019, dada su estrecha relación con el mercado estadounidense y los aún favorables precios de las materias primas.

April 2019 Pdf Alfredo Coutiño
Webinar-on-Demand

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Latin America Economic Outlook 2019

Latin America is heading toward a second year of recovery in 2019 with continued general improvement across countries. However, key risks threaten to adversely affect the region’s economic performance.

Webinar-on-Demand

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Perspectivas Económicas para América Latina 2019

América Latina se encamina a su segundo año de recuperación en el 2019, con una mejoría más generalizada a nivel de países.

Article

Caught in the Cross Fire: Latin America Navigates Global Trade Risks

We assess the economic consequences for Latin America should the trade truce between the U.S. and China fail to hold.

Article

Global Outlook: Weaker Growth, Pervasive Downside Risks

Global economic growth has passed the peak and is transitioning to a slower pace after being on an upswing for more than two years.

March 2019 Pdf Steven Cochrane, Katrina Ell, Ruth Stroppiana

Mexico Under a Severe Economic Scenario

A severely adverse economic scenario in the U.S. will cause severe damage to Mexico's economy. If the Federal Reserve's severe scenario to test the strength and resilience of banking institutions materializes, Mexico's economy would suffer profoundly. The negative consequences will surpass in magnitude and duration those faced by the Mexican economy during the global recession in 2008-2009.

February 20, 2019 Pdf Alfredo Coutiño
Article

South America Under Hypothetical Stress Scenarios

Applying the Fed's latest CCAR parameters, the region's recessions would be deeper than in the U.S.

February 2019 Pdf Juan Pablo Fuentes
Article

Latin American Currency Highlights: Determining the Risk of a Large Currency Depreciation for 15 Countries

Latin American countries have a shaky history when it comes to stable foreign exchange. Several countries are facing economic and political upheaval, which may significantly impact the value of their currencies. Using the Moody's Analytics Currency Depreciation Indicator, we evaluate the coming year for 15 Latin American countries.

February 2019 Pdf Moody's Analytics
Webinar-on-Demand

Global Macroeconomic Model and Scenario Studio

In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss recent changes to our Global Macroeconomic Model, and provide an overview of Scenario Studio, our new platform for custom scenario development. Learn more: www.moodysanalytics.com/scenariostudio

June 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Mark Hopkins
Article

The Venezuela Crisis and Consequences for South America

This paper assesses the economic consequences for Venezuela and the rest of South America if Maduro serves out his new presidential term, and if he is cast from office.

June 2018 Pdf Marisa DiNatale , Rogers Jesse
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