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Moody's Analytics: 2019 U.S. Macro Outlook - From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

The next recession is coming into view but probably will not arrive in the coming year as many seem to fear.

January 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
News

PRA Delays Final Direction on Reporting of Private Securitizations

PRA and FCA have delayed the issuance of final direction, including the final template, on reporting of private securitizations, from January 15, 2019 to the end of January 2019.

January 15, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

BCBS Finalizes Market Risk Capital Framework and Work Program for 2019

BCBS published the final framework for market risk capital requirements and its work program for 2019. Also published was an explanatory note to provide a non-technical description of the overall market risk framework, the changes that have been incorporated into in this version of the framework and impact of the framework.

January 14, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

EBA Single Rulebook Q&A: First Update for January 2019

EBA published answers to 13 questions under the Single Rulebook question and answer (Q&A) updates for this week.

January 11, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
Article

Some Rising Pressure Points in Global Debt

Global leverage has been rising as a share of GDP over the past decade. This is a growing concern, as questions around sustainability loom large in some pockets. Also, although global financial conditions remain largely accommodative, debt servicing costs will continue rising over the next year after an extended period of low borrowing costs, putting pressure on balance sheets.

January 2019 Pdf Steven Cochrane, Katrina Ell
News

PRA Proposes to Amend Supervisory Statement on Credit Risk Mitigation

PRA published the consultation paper CP1/19 that is proposing changes to the supervisory statement (SS17/13) on credit risk mitigation.

January 10, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Upper-Tier Ba Rating Comprises Nearly Half of Outstanding High-Yield Bonds

The outstanding high-yield corporate bonds of U.S.-domiciled issuers fell from a year earlier for an eighth consecutive quarter in 2018's final three months. Fourth-quarter 2018's 4.6% year-over-year drop lowered the outstandings of U.S. corporate high-yield bonds to $1.221 trillion, which was 9.1% under fourth-quarter 2016's current zenith of $1.344 trillion.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
News

FASB Issues Q&A on Estimating Credit Loss Reserves

FASB issued a question-and-answer (Q&A) document that addresses particular issues related to the weighted average remaining maturity (WARM) method for estimating the allowance for credit losses.

January 10, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

FED Updates Reporting and Supplemental Instructions for Form FR Y-9C

FED published the updated reporting instructions and supplemental instructions for the FR Y-9C reporting form. The reporting frequency for FR Y-9C is quarterly, as of the last calendar day of the quarter.

January 09, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

PRA Updates Policy on Liquidity Reporting Under FSA047/048 and PRA110

PRA published the policy statement PS1/19 that provides feedback to responses to the consultation paper CP22/18 titled "Liquidity reporting: FSA047 and FSA048" and the proposal in CP16/18, which intended to correct the level of consolidation of the PRA110 reporting requirements.

January 08, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

FED Proposes to Amend Company-Run Stress Testing Requirements

FED proposed to modify company-run stress testing requirements to conform with the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection (EGRRCP) Act.

January 08, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
Article

Moody's Analytics Wins the CECL Category Award in the 2019 Chartis RiskTech100®

Moody's Analytics Wins CECL Category Award in 2019 Chartis RiskTech100

January 2019 WebPage
News

ESMA RTS on Supervisory Cooperation Under Securitization Regulation

ESMA issued the final regulatory technical standards (RTS) for cooperation between competent authorities and ESAs under the Securitization Regulation (2017/2402).

January 08, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

ESAs Publish Joint Report on Regulatory Sandboxes and Innovation Hubs

ESAs published a joint report providing a comparative analysis of the innovation facilitators (that is, regulatory sandboxes and innovation hubs) established to date within the EU.

January 07, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

OCC Revises Asset Thresholds for Small Banks and Savings Associations

OCC published in the Federal Register revisions to the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) regulations that became effective January 01, 2019.

January 07, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

European Council Publishes Final Compromise Text for NPL Regulation

European Council published final compromise text on the proposal for a regulation amending the Capital Requirements Regulation or CRR (Regulation 575/2013) regarding the minimum loss coverage for non-performing exposures (NPL Regulation).

January 03, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Stabilization of Equities and Corporates Requires Treasury Bond Rally

The world is now incapable of shouldering a 10-year Treasury yield above 3%. A remedial decline by the U.S.' benchmark interest rates will be critical to rejuvenating global business activity and stabilizing financial markets. Otherwise, the corporate earnings outlook might deteriorate by enough to sink the market value of U.S. common stock by another 20% and swell the now 552 basis point high yield bond spread to 800 bp.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Veasna Kong, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Modeling Credit Card Losses Under CECL

Through this study, we illustrate the challenges for modelers under CECL and assess the impact of the new accounting standards. 2

January 2019 Pdf David Fieldhouse
Article

Japan Outlook: Brave Face Fronting Oncoming Challenges

Moody's Analytics outlook for Japan suggests GDP will grow near its potential pace, which hovers from 0.5% to 1%.

January 2019 Pdf Steven Cochrane, Faraz Syed
Article

Vietnam Outlook: Resiliency Amid Emerging Market Uncertainty

Vietnam's expansion has charged ahead despite the recent financial and trade turmoil inflicting pain across Southeast Asia's emerging markets Moody's Analytics estimates output growth at 6.7% in 2018.

January 2019 Pdf Steven Cochrane
Article

China's Provincial Economies: Growing Together or Pulling Apart?

In this paper, we examine regional patterns of economic growth across China's 31 province-level administrative divisions, comparing changes in industrial structure, productivity growth and demographics.

January 2019 Pdf Steven Cochrane
News

PRA Updates Reporting Forms and Instructions, Effective January 2019

Out of all the data items and instructions that came into force recently, PRA published several data items and instructions to reflect policy effective from January 01, 2019.

January 01, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

BaFin Publishes Ruling on CET 1 Instruments for Cooperative Banks

BaFin published a new general order, which regulates how newly issued shares in cooperative banks with the permission of BaFin can be classified as common equity tier 1 (CET 1) instruments.

January 01, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

BaFin Decision on Reinsurance Contracts and SPVs Under Solvency II

BaFin published an “interpretative decision” on the evaluation of amounts recoverable from reinsurance contracts and special purpose vehicles (SPVs) under Solvency II.

January 01, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

PRA Updates NST and Internal Model Templates for Solvency II Reporting

PRA updated the National Specific Templates (NSTs), internal model output templates, and LOG files to reflect the December 31, 2018 effective date for reporting under Solvency II.

December 31, 2018 WebPage Regulatory News
News

EC on Rules to Come into Effect in 2019 Under Capital Markets Union

EC highlights that the Securitization Regulation, which comes into effect on January 01, 2019, creates common rules and sets the criteria for simple, transparent and standardized (STS) securitization in the EU.

December 30, 2018 WebPage Regulatory News
News

FED Proposes to Revise and Extend Form FR 2052a for Three Years

FED issued a proposal to extend for three years, with revision, the complex institution liquidity monitoring report (FR 2052a; OMB No. 7100-0361). FR 2052a is used to monitor the overall liquidity profile of certain FED-supervised institutions.

December 28, 2018 WebPage Regulatory News
News

US Agencies Expand Examination Cycles for Qualifying Small Banks

US Agencies (FDIC, FED, and OCC) jointly issued final rules that adopt without change the interim final rules issued in August that expanded the number of insured depository institutions and U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks eligible for an 18-month on-site examination cycle, rather than a 12-month cycle.

December 28, 2018 WebPage Regulatory News
News

FED Updates Supplemental Instructions for Reporting Form FR Y-14Q

Among the FED information collections that have been under review, the supplemental instructions for Capital Assessments and Stress Testing (FR Y-14Q) have been updated this month.

December 26, 2018 WebPage Regulatory News
News

Central Bank of Bahamas Consults on Liquidity Reforms Under Basel III

The Central Bank of Bahamas proposed to implement liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) and net stable funding ratio (NSFR) in Bahamas.

December 24, 2018 WebPage Regulatory News
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