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Economic Insights

Article

At a Crossroads: China Taps the Accelerator

With the economy now facing its most vulnerable window of growth since the global financial crisis, it appears the latter is again more of a priority.

December 2018
Steven Cochrane, Katrina Ell

Article
Color Rope

Gauging CECL Cyclicality

In this paper, we provide empirical support for the conclusion that the CECL standard will be less procyclical than the incurred loss standard.

December 2018
Mark Zandi,  Dr. Cristian deRitis

Article

CECL Survey

We asked attendees of the 2018 Moody's Analytics Summit their thoughts on four key questions in preparation for the new standard.

November 2018

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Middle East Outlook – Amidst Uncertainty

In this webinar replay, Moody's Analytics economists discuss the Middle East's macro outlook and analyze economic prospects of MENA oil exporters and importers.

November 2018

Article
Business man drawing pie chart

Pride and Protectionism: U.S. Trade Policy and Its Impact on Asia

Crafting economically sound trade policy is easier said than done.

October 2018
Mark Zandi,  Steven CochraneRyan Sweet

Interview
Trade

Trade War Impact On US Could Be Greater Than On China

Steve Cochrane, Chief APAC Economist of Moody's Analytics, talks about the trade dispute between the U.S. and China.

October 2018

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed.

October 2018
Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Webinar: Australia's Economic Outlook Amidst the Housing Slowdown

In this webinar, Moody's Analytics economists discuss Australia's macro and regional economic outlook and the impact on the housing market.

October 2018
Moody's Analytics

Article
insight default image

Canada Housing Market Outlook: Time for Slower Price Growth

The housing market in Canada seems to have stabilized. House price growth slowed between early last year and the middle of this year, though home sales and house price growth increased in July and August.

October 2018
Andres Carbacho-Burgos

Webinar-on-Demand
Double exposure of city and graph on rows of coins for finance and banking concept

Webinar: Auto Lease Pricing Under Economic Uncertainty

Join us as Lead Auto Economist, Michael Vogan examines the recent performance of the used car market and lease residuals portfolios.

September 2018

Article
Business People Analyzing Statistics Financial Concept

Assigning Probabilities to Macroeconomic Alternative Scenarios

In this article, we describe the methodology used by Moody's Analytics to assign probabilities to its regularly produced alternative macroeconomic scenarios and to calibrate these scenarios by taking into consideration recent post-crisis economic conditions.

September 2018
Moody's Analytics

Article
Business People DIscussion Brainstorming Teamwork Concept

To Follow the Pack or Not: CECL Based on the Consensus

This paper compares and contrasts, through the CECL lens, the two baseline scenarios Moody's Analytics produces monthly: the Moody's Analytics baseline and the consensus baseline.

September 2018