Following the release of the Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) scenarios for 2020, join Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team as they discuss the narratives behind the Fed's scenarios.
The outbreak has already become highly disruptive to China; the U.S. will not be immune.
Presentation slides from the webinar. The outbreak has already become highly disruptive to China; the U.S. will not be immune.
The coronavirus is a serious mounting threat to the fragile Chinese and global economies. It is hard to handicap how broadly the virus will ultimately spread and how virulent it will be, but it has already become highly disruptive to China and increasingly to the rest of Asia. The U.S. will not be immune to its ill effects.
Preguntas y Respuestas
This paper examines the change in U.S. imports from China and the rest of the world in the wake of the trade war and attempts to quantify the extent of trade diversion that has taken place because of higher U.S. tariffs on China since 2018.
The U.S. economy is being buffeted by significant cross-currents.
The impending Phase One trade agreement between the U.S. and China has delivered more questions than answers. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative posted a two-page fact sheet on December 13 detailing the pending agreement in general terms but provided few details.
Asia as a region has attracted the largest share of global FDI flows since 2017 and despite the ongoing U.S.-China trade war, the region is well positioned to continue being the top destination for foreign investments in the years ahead.
Moody's Analytics has added six new U.S. commercial property price indices (CPPI) to its global macroeconomic forecast model based on sales transaction data from REIS.
Some recent public disclosures by institutions indicate that some lenders are evaluating electing fair value accounting, also known as the fair value option, or FVO, in lieu of applying the Current Expected Credit Losses standard.
We describe how model validation can be an important value-adding tool rather than a mere regulatory requirement.