Article
This brief paper outlines Senator Warren's reform plan and evaluates its actuarial, macroeconomic and distributional impacts.
September 2019
Article
Based on simulations of the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, this paper examines the consequences for the U.S. and global economies in different scenarios regarding how the trade war between the U.S. and China will unfold.
September 2019
Webinar-on-Demand
Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.
September 2019
Article
A hard landing in China remains a looming threat to the global economy and especially to the rest of Asia. This paper considers the consequences of a China debt crisis for the Chinese and global economies, with a special focus on Southeast Asia and emerging markets.
August 2019
Article
The importance of accurate and timely data on household credit conditions became clear during the global financial crisis. Quickly rising delinquencies and foreclosures should have been a warning to lenders and regulators to significantly tighten the spigot on new lending that was wide open during the pre-crisis boom. However, partially due to data limitations, many financial institutions were surprised by the weakening of household balance sheets. By the time they realized the severity of the problem, it was too late to act.
August 2019
Article
The global economy is navigating troubled waters. The unresolved and significant geopolitical risks plaguing the global economy are exacerbating the slowdown in demand.
August 2019
Presentation
Presented at the Credit Union National Association, Ohio Credit Union League
August 2019
Presentation
Presented at the Credit Union National Association, Ohio Credit Union League
August 2019
Presentation
Presented at the Credit Union National Association, Ohio Credit Union League
August 2019
Article
More than a decade after the financial crisis that was caused in significant part by debt-burdened households, there is no indication that household debt will be at the center of the next economic recession.
August 2019
Article
The industry is currently a hive of CECL-related activity. Many banks are busily testing their systems or finalizing their preparations for the go-live date, which is either in January 2020 or somewhat later, depending on the organization. Some are still making plans for implementation, and the rest are worried that they should be.
August 2019
Webinar-on-Demand
The effects of climate change will intensify throughout the century, resulting in profound changes in climate patterns across the globe.
August 2019
