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    Economic Insights

    Economic Insights

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: 2020 U.S. Macro Outlook: Two Economies

    The U.S. economy is being buffeted by significant cross-currents.

    Article
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    More Questions Than Answers on Trade Agreement

    The impending Phase One trade agreement between the U.S. and China has delivered more questions than answers. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative posted a two-page fact sheet on December 13 detailing the pending agreement in general terms but provided few details.

    Article
    illuminated charts and graphs

    Foreign Direct Investments in Asia: Trends and Prospects

    Asia as a region has attracted the largest share of global FDI flows since 2017 and despite the ongoing U.S.-China trade war, the region is well positioned to continue being the top destination for foreign investments in the years ahead.

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    U.S. Commercial Properties Price Indices Methodology and Forecast Trends

    Moody's Analytics has added six new U.S. commercial property price indices (CPPI) to its global macroeconomic forecast model based on sales transaction data from REIS.

    Article
    City building looking up at sky

    Electing the Fair Value Option Instead of CECL? Know the Risks

    Some recent public disclosures by institutions indicate that some lenders are evaluating electing fair value accounting, also known as the fair value option, or FVO, in lieu of applying the Current Expected Credit Losses standard.

    Whitepaper
    Graphic of successful business charts

    Adding Value Through Effective Model Validation

    We describe how model validation can be an important value-adding tool rather than a mere regulatory requirement.

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Perspectivas Económicas para América Latina 2020

    América Latina registrará una ligera recuperación en el 2020, después de un estancamiento en 2019.

    Article
    illuminated charts and graphs

    Concerned With Forecast Uncertainty in CECL? Look Beyond the Baseline

    Using multiple scenarios in CECL can temper some of the volatility in the economic forecasts – the part that results from our inability to forecast the economy with complete precision.

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Financial charts on illuminated background

    2020 U.S. Economic & Consumer Credit Outlook

    Cris deRitis, Chief Deputy Economist with Moody's Analytics discusses the current and anticipated trends in U.S. economic and household credit conditions.

    Article
    illuminated charts and graphs

    Wholesale Used-Car Price Report: 2019Q3

    Auto retention values were not immune to the slowdown in the U.S. economy in the third quarter. Wholesale used-vehicle value retention dropped 1.7% in September on a year-over year basis. This at a time when U.S. economic growth slowed from 3% a year earlier to about 2%

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    A Global Recession: Key Indicators and Implications

    How should we prepare for the next recession?

    Webinar-on-Demand

    U.S. Consumer Credit Outlook: November 2019

    Join Scott Hoyt and Deniz Tudor of Moody's Analytics, as they discuss the current and anticipated trends in household credit conditions