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Economic Insights

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Exclusive look into the CreditLens™ solution

Join us as our product strategy team explores the new CreditLens™ solution.

February 2019

Article
illuminated stock market numbers

Canada Housing Market Outlook: Slower, Steadier

The Canadian housing market is going through a period of decompression

February 2019

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed's scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Trump Trade War: An Uneasy Truce

Using the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, we consider the fallout if current negotiations break down and trade tensions between the two economic giants reignite.

February 2019

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: 2019 Middle East Outlook – A Rosy Future for Oil Exporters

In this webinar, Moody's Analytics economists discuss Middle East's macroeconomic outlook with particular focus on the prospects for the Emirati and Saudi economies.

February 2019
Moody's Analytics

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: ImpairmentCalc™ - Understanding IFRS 9 ECL Volatility

ImpairmentCalc™ software produces IFRS 9 ECL estimates which are both forward-looking and incorporate the latest changes in the macroeconomic environment.

January 2019
Moody's Analytics

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics: 2019 U.S. Macro Outlook - From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

The next recession is coming into view but probably will not arrive in the coming year as many seem to fear.

January 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Some Rising Pressure Points in Global Debt

Global leverage has been rising as a share of GDP over the past decade. This is a growing concern, as questions around sustainability loom large in some pockets. Also, although global financial conditions remain largely accommodative, debt servicing costs will continue rising over the next year after an extended period of low borrowing costs, putting pressure on balance sheets.

January 2019
Steven Cochrane, Katrina Ell

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Japan Outlook: Brave Face Fronting Oncoming Challenges

Moody's Analytics outlook for Japan suggests GDP will grow near its potential pace, which hovers from 0.5% to 1%.

January 2019
Steven Cochrane, Faraz Syed

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Vietnam Outlook: Resiliency Amid Emerging Market Uncertainty

Vietnam's expansion has charged ahead despite the recent financial and trade turmoil inflicting pain across Southeast Asia's emerging markets Moody's Analytics estimates output growth at 6.7% in 2018.

January 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

China's Provincial Economies: Growing Together or Pulling Apart?

In this paper, we examine regional patterns of economic growth across China's 31 province-level administrative divisions, comparing changes in industrial structure, productivity growth and demographics.

January 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Modeling Credit Card Losses Under CECL

Through this study, we illustrate the challenges for modelers under CECL and assess the impact of the new accounting standards.

January 2019