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    Economic Insights

    Economic Insights

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    The Pros and Cons of Rent Regulation

    Our findings conclude that the recent rent regulations passed in three states will likely not have a material impact on supply growth – for either affordable housing or for market-rate apartments. This means that landlords and investors concerned with market-rate apartments are not likely to change investment or development behavior.

    Article
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    How Will Climate Change Impact Banks?

    We look at climate risk and consider how a heating planet might impact a bank's performance

    Presentation
    3D Connection

    The Next Recession

    The U.S. and global economies are struggling under the weight of the U.S.-China trade war and a range of other geopolitical threats. Can the global economy avoid an economic recession?

    Presentation
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    Transmission of Economic and Financial Shocks: Getting Prepared for the Next Downturn or Crisis

    We examine past histories of recessions and crises to identify hidden vulnerabilities and weak links in the economy and financial system. ‍

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Identifying Areas of Potential Growth - Opportunity Zones

    The Opportunity Zone (OZ) program offers substantial federal tax incentives in exchange for capital investment in under-resourced areas.

    Presentation
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    A VUCA Economy: Decoding the Signals

    Amongst all the recession chatter, what are the economic indicators really saying? Sohini connects the dots in this presentation.

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    Webinar: Europe Economic Outlook - Cloud of Uncertainty

    We consider the leading indicators of recession, the potential timing of the downturn, its severity and length.

    Article
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    Searching for Opportunity in the Land of OZ

    The Opportunity Zone (OZ) program offers substantial federal tax incentives in exchange for capital investment in under-resourced areas. This creates challenges for investors, policymakers and other stakeholders when trying to evaluate the more than 8,700 Opportunity Zones in their entirety. In this paper, we leverage our opportunity zones

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Who Will Be the Next President?

    In this timely webinar, Mark Zandi, Dan White and Bernard Yaros examine the prospects for the U.S. presidential election based on their modeling of the past 10 Presidential elections. We also will assess the impact of voter turnout on the election results, something that had a significant impact on the 2016 election outcome

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    2020 Presidential Election Model

    The economy may not be top of mind for voters in every election, but it is hardly ever further than a close second. This is the principle underpinning Moody's Analytics presidential election models.

    Article
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    Canada Housing Market Outlook: The Fundamentals Start to Pull

    Canada's housing market seems on course for a soft landing given the lack of deterioration in mortgage debt arrears so far.

    Article
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    Conservative Banks Do Not Need Conservative Models

    When banks manage risk, conservatism is a virtue. We, as citizens, want banks to hold slightly more capital than strictly necessary and to make, at the margin, more provisions for potential loan losses. Moreover, we want them to be generally cautious in their underwriting. But what is the best way to arrive at these conservative calculations?