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Chartis Research | Moody's Analytics Model Validation Vendor Analysis Report

Moody's Analytics is named a Category Leader in this report that assesses 10 leading vendors of model validation solutions and is recognized for offering best-in-class capabilities in all seven categories, including data, input, model analytics/pricing, and suitability.

May 2019

Article
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Weekly Market Outlook: Earnings Slump Would Unmask Dangers of High Leverage

According to the Federal Reserve's “Financial Stability Report” of May 2019, not only has the outstanding debt of nonfinancial businesses outpaced nominal GDP during the past 10 years (or since 2008), but the growth of debt has been skewed toward riskier firms.

May 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell , Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Mark ZandiRyan Sweet , Michael Ferlez

Article
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Weekly Market Outlook: Credit May Again Outshine Equities at Divining Markets' Near-Term Path

During a week of heightened equity market volatility, the corporate credit market was relatively calm. As of May 8's close, the credit market had yet to sense much collateral damage from an intensification of the trade conflict between China and the U.S.

May 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina EllSteven Cochrane , Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet , Steven Shields

Webinar-on-Demand

Beyond Compliance: Extending the Value of Risk Insights

The risk function has emerged as an important strategic decision-making partner for critical functions such as business development, finance, operations, and technology.

May 2019
Roshni Patel, Mehna Raissi, Jin Oh

Article
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Weekly Market Outlook: Not Even the Great Depression Could Push the Baa Default Rate Above 2%

The now positive trend of Baa-industrial credit rating revisions is nearly diametrically opposed to the negative trend of high-yield rating changes.

May 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell , Veasna Kong, Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet , Brendan Meighan, Steven Shields

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Make Better, Faster Credit Decisions with Automation

Make Better, Faster Credit Decisions with Automation

May 2019

Article
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Weekly Market Outlook: Benign Default Outlook Implies Profits Will Outrun Corporate Debt

A high ratio of corporate debt to GDP is tolerable as long as a material contraction of core pretax profits is avoided. History shows that the ratio of corporate debt to core pretax profits performs better at explaining high-yield defaults than does the ratio of corporate debt to GDP.

April 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell , Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet , Scott Hoyt, Steven Shields

Article
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Weekly Market Outlook: Upside Risks to the U.S. Economy

The U.S. economy has weakened in early 2019, fanning concerns that the expansion is running out of steam. However, a number of factors that are contributing to this apparent downshift are temporary.

April 2019
John Lonski,  Katrina Ell , Veasna Kong, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Brendan Meighan,  Ryan Sweet , Michael Ferlez, Andrew Pak, Adam Ozimek

Article
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Weekly Market Outlook: Outstandings and Rating Changes Supply Radically Different Default Outlooks

The credit ratings distribution of outstanding U.S. high-yield corporate bond debt and the distribution of high-yield credit rating revisions now deliver conflicting messages regarding the high-yield default rate's likely direction.

April 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell , Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet , Brendan Meighan, Steven Shields

Article
Graphic charts and figures on illuminated board

Weekly Market Outlook: High Leverage Offset by Ample Coverage of Net Interest Expense

The faster growth of nonfinancial-corporate debt relative to both nominal GDP and the group's core pretax profits has been offset by the comparatively slow growth of net interest expense.

April 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell , Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet

Article
Image of red painted staircase

Weekly Market Outlook: Subdued Outlooks for Revenues and Profits Portend Lower Interest Rates

Recession fears abound yet the prices of earnings-sensitive securities and industrial commodities have held up reasonably well. Indicators of financial distress have yet to warn of sharply lower share prices and a surge in corporate debt defaults. Apparently markets are confident in the remedial powers of lower interest rates.

March 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell , Faraz Syed, Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet , Michael Ferlez

Article
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Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Will Cut Rates If 10-Year Yield Breaks Under 2.4%

The Treasury bond market was stunned by the drop in the Federal Open Market Committee's “dot chart” projection for year-end 2019 fed funds' midpoint from the 2.875% of December 2018's projection to 2.375% as of March 2019's projection.

March 2019
John Lonski,  Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell , Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet , Michael Ferlez