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    Moody's Analytics 2020 Articles

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    How Corporate Credit Might Burst an Equity Bubble

    Highly leveraged corporate balance sheets have often been cited as one of the greater threats to both the most richly valued U.S. equity market since 2000 and a record-long business cycle upturn.

    January 2020 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Steven Shields

    Weekly Market Outlook: Positive Earnings Outlook Requires Flat to Lower Interest Rates

    After shrinking by 0.6% year over year during January-September 2019, yearlong 2019's core after-tax profits may be unchanged annually, at best.

    January 2020 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

    Cards and CECL estimates

    Recent CECL impact disclosures point directly to credit cards as the largest driver of the allowance. We can confirm those recent disclosures by looking at the consumer default volumes chart in Figure 1,which clearly point to the credit card segment as being one of the largest contributors of loss today.

    January 2020 WebPage Laurent Birade, David Fieldhouse

    PCD assets post-CECL: The real-world implications of an accounting change

    One benefit CECL will bring to the accounting space is moving away from the complicated and burdensome accounting for Purchase Credit Impaired (PCI) assets.

    January 2020 WebPage Scott Dietz

    More Questions Than Answers on Trade Agreement

    The impending Phase One trade agreement between the U.S. and China has delivered more questions than answers. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative posted a two-page fact sheet on December 13 detailing the pending agreement in general terms but provided few details.

    January 2020 Pdf Steven Cochrane

    Weekly Market Outlook: Overvalued Equities Increase Corporate Credit's Downside Risk

    An overvalued equity market increases the risk of a deep sell-off of equities that will damage corporate credit.

    January 2020 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Ryan Sweet, Steven Shields
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