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    Ryan Sweet

    Leading U.S economist, specializing in U.S. monetary policy; recognized by MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP as among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of U.S. economy; contributor and editor-in-chief, Economy.com.

    Ryan Sweet leads real-time economics at Moody's Analytics and is a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team. He specializes in the U.S. economy, including monetary policy and forecasting high-frequency economic indicators. Considered by MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP as among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of the U.S. economy, Ryan also is an adjunct professor of Economics at West Chester University of Pennsylvania.

    Expertise
    solutions
    Moody's Analytics | Economic Research

    Economic Research: Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive economic analysis to help clients understand key economic drivers across all geographic levels.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Forecasts

    Economic Forecasts: Moody's Analytics provides trusted macro and regional forecasts to help clients assess potential economic outcomes.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Data

    Economic Data: Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive economic, demographic, and financial data at the global and regional levels.

    TOPICS

    Economic Risk Assessment: Quantitative economic assessment to help you understand the impact of forward-looking changes on the performance of your business and portfolios.

    Economic Forecasts: Forecasts potential economic outcomes on the performance of businesses and investments.

    Historical Economic Performance: Historical and recent performance data to assess performance by geography, indicators, asset class, time and conditions.

    Published Work
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Lowest Investment-Grade Industrial Company Bond Yields since 1956

    The latest rally by Treasury bonds drove Moody's long-term industrial company bond yields down to new 63-year lows. On August 14, the single-A industrial company bond yield closed at 3.30% and the Baa industrial yield ended at 4.08%.

    August 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Sluggish Business Revenues Pressure Corporate Credit Quality

    It was a tumultuous week. Volatility will lurk until trade issues are resolved. Perhaps the best markets can hope for on the trade front is a long-lived truce.

    August 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Successful Rate Cuts Are Short and Shallow; Failures Are Deep and Extended

    Since 1984, there have been seven distinct series of Fed rate cuts. Four of the seven rate cut episodes occurred amid a mature business cycle upturn and managed to stave off a recession. They happened in 1985, 1987, 1995, and 1998.

    August 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Faster Loan Growth Would Bode Poorly for Corporate Credit Quality

    Forecasts of a prolonged depreciation of the dollar exchange rate may be overlooking to the increased importance of U.S. spending as a driver of global economic growth.

    July 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Likelihood of a 1.88% Fed Funds Rate by End of July Soars

    The release of second quarter corporate earnings is moving into full gear and investors are not entirely happy with the results.

    July 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Market Implied Ratings Differ on the Likely Direction of Baa3 Ratings

    Baa3-grade issuers constitute the bottom rung of the investment-grade ratings ladder. Once a Baa3 rating is subject to a “fallen angel” downgrade to speculative-grade, investors who are mandated to hold only investment-grade obligations must sell the now high-yield debt.

    July 2019