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    Ryan Sweet

    Leading U.S economist, specializing in U.S. monetary policy; recognized by MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP as among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of U.S. economy; regular contributor and editor-in-chief, Economy.com.

    Ryan Sweet leads real-time economics at Moody's Analytics and is a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team. He is also head of the firm’s monetary policy research, following actions by the Federal Reserve Bank and examining their potential impact on the U.S. economy and capital markets. In addition, Ryan is an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania.

    Washington College: BA, Economics
    University of Delaware: MA, Economics
    Moody's Analytics | Economic Research

    Economic Research: Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive economic analysis to help clients understand key economic drivers across all geographic levels.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Forecasts

    Economic Forecasts: Moody's Analytics provides trusted macro and regional forecasts to help clients assess potential economic outcomes.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Data

    Economic Data: Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive economic, demographic, and financial data at the global and regional levels.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Workstations

    Economic Workstations: Moody's Analytics provides powerful workstations for economic research, data, and forecasting analytics.


    Economic Risk Assessment: Quantitative economic assessment to help you understand the impact of forward-looking changes on the performance of your business and portfolios.

    Economic Forecasts: Forecasts potential economic outcomes on the performance of businesses and investments.

    Historical Economic Performance: Historical and recent performance data to assess performance by geography, indicators, asset class, time and conditions.

    Published Work

    Weekly Market Outlook: Positive Earnings Outlook Requires Flat to Lower Interest Rates

    After shrinking by 0.6% year over year during January-September 2019, yearlong 2019's core after-tax profits may be unchanged annually, at best.

    January 2020

    Weekly Market Outlook: Overvalued Equities Increase Corporate Credit's Downside Risk

    An overvalued equity market increases the risk of a deep sell-off of equities that will damage corporate credit.

    January 2020

    Weekly Market Outlook: Richly Valued Equities Offset Record High Ratio of Corporate Debt to GDP

    Following Jerome Powell's testimony of December 11, Moody's long-term Baa industrial company bond yield fell to 3.98%, which was its lowest close since the 3.95% of August 28, 2019.

    December 2019

    Weekly Market Outlook: Return of Christmas Past Does Not Impend

    More than 20% of the European Union's population is at least 65 years of age. Partly because of an unprecedented aging of the EU's slowly growing population, the average annual rate of economic growth for the EU has slowed from the 2.7% of 2004-2007 to the projected 1.2% of 2019-2020.

    December 2019

    Weekly Market Outlook: Next Plunge by Profits to Drive Leverage Up to 2009 High

    U.S. business activity has not been exceeding its reach, and that will help extend the long-lived bull market and record-long economic recovery.

    November 2019

    Weekly Market Outlook: Corporate Bond Issuance Reflects Business Activity's Heightened Sensitivity to Rates

    For January-October 2019, the corporate bond issuance by U.S. based businesses grew by 12.4% year over year to $871.0 billion for investment-grade obligations and increased by 15.2% annually to $186.5 billion for high-yield offerings.

    November 2019