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    Ryan Sweet

    Leading U.S economist, specializing in U.S. monetary policy; recognized by MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP as among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of U.S. economy; regular contributor and editor-in-chief, Economy.com.

    Ryan Sweet leads real-time economics at Moody's Analytics and is a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team. He is also head of the firm’s monetary policy research, following actions by the Federal Reserve Bank and examining their potential impact on the U.S. economy and capital markets. In addition, Ryan is an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania.

    education
    Washington College: BA, Economics
    University of Delaware: MA, Economics
    Expertise
    solutions
    Moody's Analytics | Economic Research

    Economic Research: Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive economic analysis to help clients understand key economic drivers across all geographic levels.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Forecasts

    Economic Forecasts: Moody's Analytics provides trusted macro and regional forecasts to help clients assess potential economic outcomes.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Data

    Economic Data: Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive economic, demographic, and financial data at the global and regional levels.

    Moody's Analytics | Economic Workstations

    Economic Workstations: Moody's Analytics provides powerful workstations for economic research, data, and forecasting analytics.

    TOPICS

    Economic Risk Assessment: Quantitative economic assessment to help you understand the impact of forward-looking changes on the performance of your business and portfolios.

    Economic Forecasts: Forecasts potential economic outcomes on the performance of businesses and investments.

    Historical Economic Performance: Historical and recent performance data to assess performance by geography, indicators, asset class, time and conditions.

    Published Work
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Richly Valued Equities Offset Record High Ratio of Corporate Debt to GDP

    Following Jerome Powell's testimony of December 11, Moody's long-term Baa industrial company bond yield fell to 3.98%, which was its lowest close since the 3.95% of August 28, 2019.

    December 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Return of Christmas Past Does Not Impend

    More than 20% of the European Union's population is at least 65 years of age. Partly because of an unprecedented aging of the EU's slowly growing population, the average annual rate of economic growth for the EU has slowed from the 2.7% of 2004-2007 to the projected 1.2% of 2019-2020.

    December 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Next Plunge by Profits to Drive Leverage Up to 2009 High

    U.S. business activity has not been exceeding its reach, and that will help extend the long-lived bull market and record-long economic recovery.

    November 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Corporate Bond Issuance Reflects Business Activity's Heightened Sensitivity to Rates

    For January-October 2019, the corporate bond issuance by U.S. based businesses grew by 12.4% year over year to $871.0 billion for investment-grade obligations and increased by 15.2% annually to $186.5 billion for high-yield offerings.

    November 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Equities Advanced for 95% of the Yearly Declines by High-Yield Bond Spread

    The market value of U.S. common stock has been setting new record highs. However, U.S. corporate credit spreads for both bonds and loans have yet to approach their lows of the current business cycle upturn, never mind their existing record lows.

    November 2019
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Improved Market Sentiment Is Mostly Speculative

    The dreaded inverted yield curve is gone, but perhaps not for long. Following October 30's paring of the federal funds rate's midpoint to 1.625%, the fed funds rate is less than the recent 1.68% 10-year Treasury yield for the first time since May 2019.

    October 2019