Economic Scenarios
Moody's Analytics economic forecasts and scenarios provide the foundation for stress testing, "what if" analyses, and regulatory compliance, enabling you to evaluate the impact of shocks and differing assumptions on the performance of your portfolios and business.
Moody's Analytics produces baseline forecasts and probability-weighted scenarios for 100+ countries and aggregates, as well as regulatory scenarios based on projections provided by governing authorities. Each scenario is fully documented, explaining what might cause a change in the outlook, relative to the baseline. Forecasts and scenarios are updated monthly to reflect the latest economic data and expectations.
Reliability You Can Trust
Accuracy, timeliness, and exceptional client support are hallmarks of Moody’s Analytics offerings. Scenarios are supported by a dedicated team of economists who are happy to respond to your inquiries.
Expertise You Can Trust
Our experience and proven track record, coupled with detailed documentation and access to our analysts, enable you to leverage our scenarios with confidence.
Featured Experts
Sohini Chowdhury
Leverages deep expertise of macroeconomic forecasting and consumer credit modeling to advise executives on stress testing and CECL/IFRS 9.
Aubrey Clayton
Economic Scenario Generation expert; model efficiency specialist
Steven G. Cochrane
Leading APAC economist oversees regional economic analysis and forecasting; presents company’s economic research and outlook, and leads consulting projects to help clients assess effects of these developments on their business.
Related Products
Economic Forecast Scenarios
Moody's Analytics provides baseline economic forecasts and alternative scenarios for 100+ countries and aggregates, updated monthly.
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Climate risk scenarios based on the Network for Greening the Financial System’s Phase II guidance.
Economic Forecast Scenarios: Custom
Moody's Analytics offers custom economic scenarios, tailored to unique business models, exposures, geographies, and assumptions.
Economic Forecast Scenarios: Regulatory
Moody's Analytics provides meaningfully expanded forecast scenarios based on projections provided by governing authorities for better stress testing.
Scenario Studio
Scenario Studio enables you to produce custom economic scenarios based on Moody's Analytics global macroeconomic forecast model to test the impact of shocks.
