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Predicting Earnings: CECL's Implications for Allowance Forecasts

The new CECL and IFRS 9 accounting standards will require financial institutions to adjust loss allowances based on forward-looking expectations and calculate lifetime losses. In this article, we demonstrate the effect of the new allowance framework by quantifying allowances and credit earnings volatility for a sample portfolio. Our case study finds that along with a shift in the level of allowance, portfolio dynamics and concentrations play an increasingly important role in understanding and communicating expected performance and earnings.

June 2017 Pdf

CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios

In this webinar, our experts discuss the important considerations in the modeling and implementation of the CECL standard for retail portfolios. Learn more about loan-level modeling approaches that can be used to forecast credit losses for retail portfolios and how to leverage existing risk measurement practices.

Infographic - Preparing for CECL

Banks are taking various approaches as they prepare for implementation of the new Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) standard.

April 2017 Pdf

Forward-looking Perspective on Impairments Using Expected Credit Loss

The new impairment accounting treatment has increased convergence between accounting, regulatory standards, and credit risk management practices, and provides a step toward a more proactive and effective loss recognition method.

April 2017 Pdf Deepak Parmani

Investment Portfolios CECL Methodologies

In this fifth webinar in our series, our experts discussed common CECL considerations for structured credit and answered key questions on how to provide CECL estimates for structured credit.

April 2017 WebPage David Kurnov, Nihil Patel

CECL Quantification: Commercial & Industrial (C&I) Portfolios Webinar Slides

In this presentation of the third webinar in our CECL quantification webinars series, our experts discussed which commercial and industrial (C&I) models and methodologies can be leveraged to fulfill CECL requirements, and key considerations in transitioning these models.

March 2017 Pdf Emil Lopez, Janet Zhao

CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios Webinar Slides

In this presentation from our webinar, our experts discuss the important considerations in the modeling and implementation of the CECL standard for retail portfolios. Learn more about loan-level modeling approaches that can be used to forecast credit losses for retail portfolios and how to leverage existing risk measurement practices.

CECL Quantification: Commercial & Industrial (C&I) Portfolios

In the third webinar in our CECL quantification webinars series, our experts discussed which commercial and industrial (C&I) models and methodologies can be leveraged to fulfill CECL requirements, and key considerations in transitioning these models.

March 2017 WebPage Emil Lopez, Janet Zhao

Proposed Capital Framework for Operational Risk

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) published its second consultation on the capital measurement for operational risk in March 2016. This whitepaper gives a thorough overview of the BCBS's consultation and the quantitative impact study (QIS) on the proposals set out in this consultation. The results of this study and comments received are expected to be used as inputs to the final design and calibration of the operational risk framework.

March 2017 Pdf Pierre-Etienne Chabanel

CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios Webinar Slides

In this webinar, our experts discuss the important considerations in the modeling and implementation of the CECL standard for retail portfolios. Learn more about loan-level modeling approaches that can be used to forecast credit losses for retail portfolios and how to leverage existing risk measurement practices.

CECL Quantification:Commercial & Industrial (C&I) Portfolios Webinar Slides

In the third webinar in our CECL quantification webinars series, our experts discussed which commercial and industrial (C&I) models and methodologies can be leveraged to fulfill CECL requirements, and key considerations in transitioning these models.

March 2017 Pdf Emil Lopez, Janet Zhao

Introduction to CECL Quantification Webinar Slides

In this presentation, our experts Emil Lopez and Jing Zhang, introduce some key CECL quantification methodologies and enhancements that can be made to existing approaches to make them CECL compliant.

February 2017 Pdf Emil Lopez, Dr. Jing Zhang

CRE CECL Methodologies Webinar Slides

In this presentation for the CECL Quantification webinar series, we discuss how commercial real estate (CRE) models and methodologies can be leveraged to fulfill CECL requirements, and key considerations in transitioning these models.

February 2017 Pdf Jun Chen, Christian Henkel

CECL Webinar Series: Introduction to CECL Quantification

In this presentation, our experts Emil Lopez and Jing Zhang, introduce some key CECL quantification methodologies and enhancements that can be made to existing approaches to make them CECL-compliant.

February 2017 WebPage Emil Lopez, Dr. Jing Zhang

CRE CECL Methodologies

The second in our CECL Quantification webinar series, this webinar discussed how commercial real estate (CRE) models and methodologies can be leveraged to fulfill CECL requirements, and key considerations in transitioning these models.

February 2017 WebPage Jun Chen, Christian Henkel

CECL Methodologies Q&A

American Banker spoke with Anna Krayn from Moody's Analytics about CECL, the new FASB accounting standards on current expected credit loss.

February 2017 Pdf Anna Krayn

Capital calculations under the revised securitasation framework - whitepaper

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision issued the final Basel III securitization framework in July 2016, incorporating the alternative capital treatment for simple, transparent, and comparable (STC) securitizations. This framework comes into effect in January 2018. This paper reviews the prescribed hierarchy of approaches, and looks at the potential overall impact of the framework on banks.

January 2017 Pdf Pierre-Etienne Chabanel

How to Manage the Impact of IFRS 9 on Earnings Volatility and the Supply and Demand of Regulatory Capital

With the implementation of IFRS 9 underway, institutions want to better quantify the impact of IFRS 9 on provisions, result earnings and capital buffers. During this video webinar, we will discuss the strategic impact of IFRS 9 on earnings, capital and investment concentration.

December 2016 WebPage Burcu Guner, Dr. Amnon Levy

Expanding Sensitivity Analysis and Stress Testing for CECL

In this American Banker webinar, Moody's Analytics discusses potential approaches for firms to expand on their current sensitivity analysis and stress testing for CECL implementation.

December 2016 WebPage Nihil Patel, Michael Gullette

Banking Regulatory Insight Newsletter – November 2016

Coverage this month includes , the Financial Stability Board (FSB) agreed its 2017 work plan. The European Banking Authority (EBA) report with qualitative and quantitative observations of its first impact assessment of the International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 9, accounting for financial instruments, standard. The European Commission (EC) presented a comprehensive package of reforms aimed at further strengthening the resilience of European Union (EU) banks. The United States (US) Government Accounting Office (GAO) issued a report detailing additional actions which could help the Federal Reserve achieve its stress testing goals. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) issued a consultation on the local implementation of the Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR).

November 2016 Pdf Michael van Steen

Insurance Regulatory Insight Newsletter - November/December 2016

Coverage this month includes the International Monetary Fund (IMF) recent Article IV on consultation with Chile, are encouraging institutional investors to give preference to investing in companies with good governance standards. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has highlighted sustainability as a key theme in its submission to a Parliamentary Committee enquiry into the life insurance industry. While APRA has not included sustainability in regulation, the knowledge that they are interested in it might have an influence on insurers' activities. The United States Federal Insurance Office, published its fourth report on the insurance industry, and its first report on the protection of consumers and access to insurance.

November 2016 Pdf Sandy Sharp

The Value of Granular Risk Rating Models for CECL

Granular risk rating models allow creditors to understand the credit risk of individual loans in a portfolio, facilitating underwriting and monitoring activities. In this webinar we will outline the value of granular risk rating models for CECL.

November 2016 WebPage Christian Henkel, Dr. Tony Hughes

NIIF 9: Un cambio fundamental en la contabilización de pérdidas de crédito

NIIF 9 introduce cambios en la contabilidad de riesgo crediticio que prometen aumentar la transparencia y confianza en los estados financieros.

November 2016 WebPage Emil Lopez

Getting Ready for CECL

The FASB's new impairment standards won't take effect until 2020, but institutions should start planning now. This webinar outlines key considerations for early CECL preparation, including: main challenges; expectations of auditors, regulators, and investors; planning in firms of varying sizes; and how to get started.

October 2016 WebPage Anna Krayn, Emil Lopez

Leveraging Basel and Stress Testing Models for CECL

Basel Advanced IRB models, other internal ratings models, and Stress Testing models were developed by many large financial institutions for capital management. Moody's Analytics will outline how institutions can leverage these models to comply with FASB's new impairment accounting standards.

October 2016 WebPage Emil Lopez, Nihil Patel

Risk Chartis IFRS 9 Market Report

International Financial Reporting Standard 9 (IFRS 9) is a high-impact symbolic, operational, IT and organisational transformation event for finance and risk. The Risk Chartis IFRS 9 Market Report focuses on the key challenges for banks implementing IFRS 9, including exclusive content from Moody's Analytics.

October 2016 Pdf Dr. Amnon Levy, Burcu Guner

U.K. Residential Mortgages Risk Weights: PRA Consultation Paper CP29/16

This paper presents best practices for addressing PRA Consultation Paper CP29/16.

October 2016 Pdf Dr. Juan M. Licari, Dimitrios Papanastasiou, Maria Valle del Olmo

Insurance Regulatory Insight Newsletter - October/November 2016

Coverage this month includes an article from the Secretary General of the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) which directly addresses the suggestion that a global unified risk-based insurance capital standard is not a realistic goal given the existing divergent approaches. A speech by Verena Ross of the European Securities and Monetary Authority, one theme of the speech is regulators need for high quality data. The UK's Prudential Regulation Authority's (PRA) thinking about insurers using an internal model to calculate their required capital. The PRA is concerned that the output of an insurers internal model may drift, or evolve, over time to become a weaker capital measure.

October 2016 Pdf Sandy Sharp

The Next Wave – Implementing a well-designed Internal Model

Institutions are transforming their analytic capabilities to move beyond static reports that explain what happened in the past, to more modern analytics that can explain why an event occurred and what is likely to happen in the future.

October 2016 WebPage Alexis Bailly, Brian Robinson, Martin Elliot

Banking Regulatory Insight Newsletter – October 2016

Coverage this month includes the BCBS's consultative document and discussion paper on Basel III; the EBA's final guidelines on implicit support for securitization transactions; the SEC's adopted rules for open-ended, mutual, and exchange traded funds; and more.

October 2016 Pdf Pierre-Etienne Chabanel
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